Research Fields

科研项目：

国家重点研发计划，大数据分析场景应用，2022YFA1003704，200万元，2022.12-2027.12，在研，参加

国家自然科学基金国际合作重点项目，融合深度学习的疫情建模与多因素共演化的动力学机制研究，12220101001，250万元，2022.01-2027.12，在研，参加

国家自然科学基金面上项目，防控防治措施诱导的异质性模型研究及其应用，12071366，52万元，2021.01-2024.12，在研，主持

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金，个体异质性对艾滋病疫情传播与控制的影响研究，11701442，25万元，2018.01-2020.12，结题，主持

 “十三五”科技重大专项，治疗和社会网络结构对宏观疫情影响的模型研究，2017ZX20101101-002-002 ，61.81万元，2017.01-2021.12，结题，参加

 “十二五”科技重大专项，我国艾滋病流行趋势、疫情评估和预测数学模型研究，2012ZX10001-001 ，96万，2012.01-2016.12，结题，参加

中央高校基本科研业务费自由探索与创新，具有行为演化机制的多层次传染病模型研究，10万元，2024.01-2026.12，在研，主持

中央高校基本科研业务费交叉合作类，基于实际数据的传染病模型研究，15万元，2018.06-2020.12，结题，主持

中央高校基本科研业务费新冠肺炎专项，2019-nCoV流行趋势预测与疫情防控的数学模型研究，10万元，2020.03-2021.01，结题，主持

中国博士后科学基金面上项目，5万元，2017.11-2020.7，结题，主持

陕西省博士后科学基金面上项目，5万元，2018.01-2020.7，结题，主持

 

论文发表：

  1. Zhang Y, Zu J, Sun X*. Global dynamics of an epidemic model with a two-threshold policy. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2024, 130: 514-535.
  2. Chen D, Sun X*, Cheke R A. Inferring a causal relationship between environmental factors and respiratory infections using convergent cross-mapping. Entropy, 2023, 25(5): 807.
  3. Tang B, Xia F, Bragazzi N L, et al. Lessons drawn from China and South Korea for managing COVID-19 epidemic: insights from a comparative modeling study. ISA transactions, 2022, 124: 164-175.
  4. Lv F, Gao X, Huang A H, et al. Excess diabetes mellitus-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. EClinicalMedicine, 2022, 54.
  5. Tan Y, Cai Y, Sun X, et al. A stochastic SICA model for HIV/AIDS transmission. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2022, 165: 112768.
  6. Wang X#, Li Q#, Sun X#, He S, Xia F, Song P, Shao Y, Wu J, Cheke RA*, Tang S*, Xiao Y*. Effects of medical resource capacities and intensities of public mitigation measures on outcomes of COVID-19 outbreaks, BMC Public Health, 2021, 21: 605.
  7. Huo X#, Sun X#, Bragazzi NL, Wu J*. Effectiveness and feasibility of convalescent blood transfusion to reduce COVID-19 fatality ratio. Royal Society Open Science, 2021, 8: 202248.
  8. Sun X, Xiao Y*, Ji X. When to lift the lockdown in Hubei province during COVID-19 epidemic？ An insight from a patch model and multiple source data, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2020, 507: 110469
  9. Sun X#, Yang W#, Tang SY, Shen M, Wang T, Zhu Q, Shen Z, Tang S, Chen H, Ruan Y*, Xiao Y*. Declining trend in HIV new infections in Guangxi, China: insights from linking reported HIV/AIDS cases with CD4-at-diagnosis data, BMC Public Health, 2020, 20: 919.
  10. Sun X#, Huo X, Wu J*. Simulation study about large-scale use of convalescent plasma therapy for the treatment of COVID-19 patients with critical symptoms, Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, 2020, 43: 211-226.
  11. Tang B#, Xia F#, Tang S#, Bragazzi NL#, Li Q, Sun X, Liang J, Xiao Y*, Wu J*. The effectiveness of quarantine and isolation determine the trend of the COVID-19 epidemics in the final phase of the current outbreak in China. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020, 288-293.
  12. Xia F#, Deng F, Tian H, He W, Xiao Y, Sun X*. Estimation of the reproduction number and identification of periodicity for HFMD infections in northwest China. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2020, 484: 110027.
  13. Sun X#, Nishiura H, Xiao Y*. Modeling methods for estimating HIV incidence: a mathematical review. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, 2020, 17(1): 1-14.
  14. Sun X#, Xiao Y*. Multiscale system for environmentally-driven infectious disease with threshold control strategy, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 2018, 28(5): 1850064.
  15. Tang S#, Yan Q#, Shi W#, Wang X, Sun X, Yu P*, Wu J*, Xiao Y*. Measuring the impact of air pollution on respiratory infection risk in China, Environmental Pollution, 2018, 232: 477-486.
  16. Nah K#, Nishiura H*, Tsuchiya N, Sun X, Asai Y, Imamura A. Test-and-treat approach to HIV/AIDS: a primer for mathematical modeling, Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, 2017, 14: 16.
  17. Sun X#, Xiao Y*, Peng Z, Wang N. Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China, Scientific Reports, 2018, 8(1): 451.
  18. Sun X#, Li Y, Xiao Y*. A predator-prey model with prey population guided anti-predator behavior, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 2017, 27(7): 1750099.
  19. Xiao Y#, Sun X*, Tang S, Zhou Y, Peng Z, Wu J, Wang N. Personalized life expectancy and treatment benefit index of antiretroviral therapy,  Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, 2017, 14:1-20.
  20. Sun X#, Huo X, Xiao Y, Wu J*. Large amplitude and multiple stable periodic oscillations in treatment-donation-stockpile dynamics. Electronic Journal of Qualitative Theory of Differential Equations, 2016, 82: 1-25.
  21. Sun X#, Xiao Y*, Tang S, Peng Z, Wu J, Wang N*. Early HAART initiation may not reduce actual reproduction number and prevalence of MSM infection: Perspectives from coupled within-and between-host modelling studies of Chinese MSM populations. PLoS One, 2016, 11(3): e0150513.
  22. Sun X#, Xiao Y*, Peng Z. Modelling HIV superinfection among men who have sex with men. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2016, 13: 171-191.
  23. Huo X#, Sun X, Lan K, Wu J*. Treatment-Donation-Stockpile Dynamics in Ebola Convalescent Blood Transfusion Therapy. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2016, 392: 53-61.
  24. Munther D#, Sun X, Xiao Y, Tang S, Shimozako H, Wu J*. et al. Modeling cross-contamination during poultry processing: Dynamics in the chiller tank. Food Control, 2016, 59: 271-281.
  25. Xiao Y#*, Sun X, Tang S, Wu J. Transmission potential of the novel avian influenza A    (H7N9) infection in mainland China. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2014, 352: 1-5.
  26. Sun X#, Xiao Y*, Peng Z, Wang N. Modelling HIV/AIDS epidemic among men who have sex with men in China. BioMed Research International, 2013, 413260.